Will EI159 be delayed today?
London → Dublin · Sun 1 Nov · Aer Lingus
updated London time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:10≈12:24
Lands13:35≈13:40
As of 08:39, EI159 should push back about 12:24 (scheduled 12:10) and land about 13:40 (scheduled 13:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonEI159's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Board shows no delay yetLondon departures board+6
Aer Lingus is running well today8% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 16 min early; yesterday this flight left 17 min late−3
Leaves≈15−1 to 25
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈5
weather at Londonweather at Dublindepartures at Londonstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:10London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
13late
8very late
0cancelled
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EI159 London to Dublin left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 79 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.