Will EI3254 be delayed today?
Dublin → Edinburgh · Sun 1 Nov · Aer Lingus
same answer since Dublin time
Unlikely. It should leave about 5 minutes late, around 11:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:25≈11:30
Lands12:40≈12:35
As of 10:19, EI3254 should push back about 11:30 (scheduled 11:25) and land about 12:35 (scheduled 12:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual morningEI3254's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farDublin departures board−2
Calmer than usual at DublinFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Dublin is running smoothly15% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈5−1 to 14
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−5
weather at EdinburghAer Lingus todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:40Dublin time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
42on time
31late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
EI3254 Dublin to Edinburgh left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 83 flights, usually 14 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 41. It wasn't cancelled once.