Will AR1246 be delayed today?
Buenos Aires → São Paulo Guarulhos · Sun 1 Nov · Aerolíneas Argentinas
same answer since Buenos Aires time
Maybe, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:15≈12:34
Lands15:00≈15:08
As of 10:19, AR1246 should push back about 12:34 (scheduled 12:15) and land about 15:08 (scheduled 15:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonAR1246's typical departure, last 90 days22
Your planeNot assigned yet. We usually see it from about 09:390
On time on the board so farBuenos Aires departures board−3
Thunderstorms possibleFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, 94% chance of rain at Buenos Aires today+1
Buenos Aires is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈207 to 32
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈8
weather at São PauloAEROLINEAS ARGENTINAS todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:30Buenos Aires time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
30on time
17late
14very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AR1246 Buenos Aires to São Paulo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 30 of its last 61 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It wasn't cancelled once.