Will AR1840 be delayed today?
Buenos Aires → El Calafate-Commander Armando Tola · Fri 6 Nov · Aerolíneas Argentinas
Unlikely. It should leave about 8 minutes late, around 05:18.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves05:10≈05:18
As of 00:49, AR1840 should push back about 05:18 (scheduled 05:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
same answer since Buenos Aires time
Why ≈8 min
A usual morningAR1840's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your plane is hereLVFYK landed from San Carlos de Bariloche, 47 min behind schedule0
On time on the board so farBuenos Aires departures board−1
Calmer than usual at Buenos AiresFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈8−1 to 14
weather at El Calafatedepartures at Buenos AiresAEROLINEAS ARGENTINAS todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 70Check again 02:10Buenos Aires time
Last 90 days
13on time
6late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AR1840 Buenos Aires to El Calafate left within 15 minutes of schedule on 13 of its last 19 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It wasn't cancelled once.