willmyflightbedelayed?

Will AR1872 be delayed today?

Buenos Aires → Ushuaia-Malvinas Argentinas · Fri 6 Nov · Aerolíneas Argentinas

Unlikely. It should leave about 6 minutes late, around 03:56.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves03:50≈03:56

Leaves in the night from Thu into Fri.

As of 01:19, AR1872 should push back about 03:56 (scheduled 03:50).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

today ≈03:5603:5004:2004:5005:20scheduled

same answer since Buenos Aires time

Why ≈6 min

A usual nightAR1872's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeLVFPT starts its day here or has been at the gate a while0
On time on the board so farBuenos Aires departures board−1
Calmer than usual at Buenos AiresFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Buenos Aires is backing up67% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Your plane was swappedThe airline changed the aircraft for this flight 11 min ago+1
Leaves≈6−2 to 21

weather at UshuaiaAEROLINEAS ARGENTINAS todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 51

usually 1 in 35

Check again 03:05Buenos Aires time

Last 90 days

37on time
5late
1very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

AR1872 Buenos Aires to Ushuaia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 37 of its last 44 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It was cancelled once.

Other Buenos Aires → Ushuaia flights today