Will AC265 be delayed today?
Toronto → Winnipeg / James Armstrong Richardson · Sat 31 Oct · Air Canada
updated Toronto time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:00≈11:58
As of 10:39, AC265 should push back about 11:58 (scheduled 12:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonAC265's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farToronto departures board−2
Calmer than usual at TorontoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Toronto is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−2−5 to 2
weather at WinnipegAir Canada todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 75Check again 11:15Toronto time
Last 90 days
22on time
11late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AC265 Toronto to Winnipeg left within 15 minutes of schedule on 22 of its last 40 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It wasn't cancelled once.