Will AC4 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Vancouver · Sun 1 Nov · Air Canada
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:15≈18:14
Lands11:05≈10:54
As of 14:49, AC4 should push back about 18:14 (scheduled 18:15) and land about 10:54 (scheduled 11:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual eveningAC4's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AC3 from Vancouver, due 16:30−1
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈−1−4 to 7
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−11
weather at Vancouverdepartures at TokyoAir Canada todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 56Check again 16:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
74on time
12late
3very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AC4 Tokyo to Vancouver left within 15 minutes of schedule on 74 of its last 90 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 15. It was cancelled once.