Will AC407 be delayed today?
Montréal → Toronto Pearson · Sat 31 Oct · Air Canada
updated Montréal time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:10≈10:13
Lands≈11:45
As of 10:39, AC407 should push back about 10:13 (scheduled 10:10) and land about 11:45 (scheduled 11:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningAC407's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as AC402 from Toronto, which has landed+4
On time on the board so farMontréal departures board−1
Calmer than usual at MontréalFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈3−3 to 8
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈0
weather at Torontodepartures at MontréalAir Canada todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 31Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
71on time
10late
4very late
3cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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AC407 Montréal to Toronto left within 15 minutes of schedule on 71 of its last 88 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It was cancelled 3 times.