Will AC4484 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Santa Barbara · Sat 31 Oct · Air Canada · operated by United as UA5464
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:05≈14:01
As of 08:39, AC4484 should push back about 14:01 (scheduled 14:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual afternoonUA5464's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−4−7 to 2
weather at Santa Barbaradepartures at San FranciscoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:05San Francisco time
Last 90 days
64on time
15late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AC4484 San Francisco to Santa Barbara left within 15 minutes of schedule on 64 of its last 87 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 23. It wasn't cancelled once.