Will AC4498 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Munich · Sat 31 Oct · Air Canada · operated by United as UA194
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves≈14:40
Lands09:45≈09:35Sun
As of 09:19, AC4498 should push back about 14:40 (scheduled 14:40) and land about 09:35 (scheduled 09:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈0 min
A usual afternoonUA194's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈0−4 to 5
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−10
weather at MunichUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:40San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
71on time
11late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AC4498 San Francisco to Munich left within 15 minutes of schedule on 71 of its last 88 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It wasn't cancelled once.