Will AC4598 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Reno Tahoe · Sat 31 Oct · Air Canada · operated by United as UA1845
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:06.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:06≈12:03
Lands13:10≈13:04
As of 10:19, AC4598 should push back about 12:03 (scheduled 12:06) and land about 13:04 (scheduled 13:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonUA1845's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−2
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−3−5 to 3
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈−6
weather at RenoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:21San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
29on time
5late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AC4598 San Francisco to Reno left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 37 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.