Will CA115 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Hong Kong · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Probably, by about 25 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:10≈15:35
Lands18:55≈19:03
As of 23:19, CA115 should push back about 15:35 (scheduled 15:10) and land about 19:03 (scheduled 18:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈25 min
A usual afternoonCA115's typical departure, last 90 days26
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at Hong KongFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈2514 to 37
Made up in the air−17
Lands≈8
weather at Beijingdepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 12:10Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
13on time
51late
26very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA115 Beijing to Hong Kong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 13 of its last 90 flights, usually 30 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 77. It wasn't cancelled once.