Will CA1251 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Ürümqi Tianshan · Mon 2 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 07:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:35≈07:43
As of 16:19, CA1251 should push back about 07:43 (scheduled 07:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual morningCA1251's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈85 to 18
weather at Ürümqidepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 189
Check again tomorrow 04:35Beijing time
Last 90 days
34on time
15late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1251 Beijing to Ürümqi left within 15 minutes of schedule on 34 of its last 51 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It wasn't cancelled once.