Will CA1261 be delayed today?
Beijing → Haidong Xining Caojiabao · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:45≈18:55
As of 07:19, CA1261 should push back about 18:55 (scheduled 18:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual eveningCA1261's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈103 to 29
weather at HaidongAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:45Beijing time
Last 90 days
47on time
22late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1261 Beijing to Haidong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 47 of its last 84 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 37. It wasn't cancelled once.