Will CA1393 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Shenzhen Bao'an · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves06:25≈06:33
Lands09:50≈09:40
As of 23:19, CA1393 should push back about 06:33 (scheduled 06:25) and land about 09:40 (scheduled 09:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual morningTypical for this time of day at Beijing; CA1393 is new to us10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at ShenzhenFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 8% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈84 to 23
Made up in the air−18
Lands≈−10
departures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 34
usually 1 in 24Check again tonight 03:25Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
12on time
18late
5very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1393 Beijing to Shenzhen left within 15 minutes of schedule on 12 of its last 36 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 23. It was cancelled once.