Will CA1409 be delayed today?
Beijing → Chongqing Jiangbei · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:15≈16:28
Lands19:05≈19:09
As of 00:49, CA1409 should push back about 16:28 (scheduled 16:15) and land about 19:09 (scheduled 19:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonCA1409's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈153 to 24
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈4
weather at Beijingweather at Chongqingdepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 36
usually 1 in 62Check again 13:15Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
36on time
34late
12very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1409 Beijing to Chongqing left within 15 minutes of schedule on 36 of its last 83 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 46. It was cancelled once.