Will CA1441 be delayed today?
Beijing → Dali Fengyi · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 06:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves06:35≈06:42
As of 00:49, CA1441 should push back about 06:42 (scheduled 06:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual morningCA1441's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up40% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈73 to 15
weather at DaliAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 175Check again 03:35Beijing time
Last 90 days
49on time
1late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1441 Beijing to Dali left within 15 minutes of schedule on 49 of its last 51 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.