Will CA1495 be delayed today?
Beijing → Yibin Wuliangye · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:15≈17:25
As of 14:49, CA1495 should push back about 17:25 (scheduled 17:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual eveningCA1495's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up47% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈103 to 19
weather at YibinAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:30Beijing time
Last 90 days
41on time
22late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1495 Beijing to Yibin left within 15 minutes of schedule on 41 of its last 73 flights, usually 14 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 32. It wasn't cancelled once.