Will CA1517 be delayed today?
Beijing → Shanghai Hongqiao · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Probably, by about 25 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:40≈14:03
Lands15:55≈16:11
As of 00:49, CA1517 should push back about 14:03 (scheduled 13:40) and land about 16:11 (scheduled 15:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈25 min
A usual afternoonCA1517's typical departure, last 90 days23
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈2512 to 33
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈15
weather at Beijingweather at Shanghaidepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 66
Check again 10:40Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
3on time
9late
9very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1517 Beijing to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 3 of its last 22 flights, usually 29 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It was cancelled once.