Will CA1575 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Qingdao Jiaodong · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:45≈08:55
As of 21:19, CA1575 should push back about 08:55 (scheduled 08:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningCA1575's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Beijing is backing up50% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈105 to 25
weather at QingdaoAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 05:45Beijing time
Last 90 days
53on time
30late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1575 Beijing to Qingdao left within 15 minutes of schedule on 53 of its last 90 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 37. It wasn't cancelled once.