Will CA1641 be delayed today?
Beijing → Harbin Taiping · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:15≈19:30
As of 07:19, CA1641 should push back about 19:30 (scheduled 19:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningCA1641's typical departure, last 90 days17
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Calmer than usual at HarbinFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈157 to 32
Air China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 200
Check again 16:15Beijing time
Last 90 days
23on time
52late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA1641 Beijing to Harbin left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 86 flights, usually 19 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 63. It wasn't cancelled once.