Will CA1704 be delayed today?
Beijing → Hangzhou Xiaoshan · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 07:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:30≈07:40
Lands09:45≈09:47
As of 06:39, CA1704 should push back about 07:40 (scheduled 07:30) and land about 09:47 (scheduled 09:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningCA1704's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−3
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up50% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈103 to 18
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈2
weather at HangzhouAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 06:45Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
57on time
23late
3very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1704 Beijing to Hangzhou left within 15 minutes of schedule on 57 of its last 85 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It was cancelled twice.