Will CA1809 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Xiamen Gaoqi · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:10≈09:23
As of 22:19, CA1809 should push back about 09:23 (scheduled 09:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningCA1809's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at XiamenFrom our forecast: quiet tomorrow−1
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈156 to 37
Air China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 123
Check again tomorrow 06:10Beijing time
Last 90 days
31on time
49late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA1809 Beijing to Xiamen left within 15 minutes of schedule on 31 of its last 85 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 54. It wasn't cancelled once.