Will CA1815 be delayed today?
Beijing → Xiamen Gaoqi · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:30≈16:43
As of 00:49, CA1815 should push back about 16:43 (scheduled 16:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonCA1815's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈154 to 25
weather at Beijingweather at Xiamendepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 25
usually 1 in 60Check again 13:30Beijing time
Last 90 days
35on time
30late
12very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1815 Beijing to Xiamen left within 15 minutes of schedule on 35 of its last 78 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 42. It was cancelled once.