Will CA1843 be delayed today?
Beijing → Hefei Xinqiao · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:25≈13:41
As of 06:19, CA1843 should push back about 13:41 (scheduled 13:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonCA1843's typical departure, last 90 days18
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Calmer than usual at HefeiFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
Beijing is backing up50% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈157 to 36
Air China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 58
Check again 10:25Beijing time
Last 90 days
32on time
42late
15very late
1cancelled
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T
W
T
F
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CA1843 Beijing to Hefei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 32 of its last 90 flights, usually 19 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 57. It was cancelled once.