Will CA2814 be delayed today?
Shenzhen → Tianjin Binhai · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Shenzhen time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:45≈12:44
As of 10:49, CA2814 should push back about 12:44 (scheduled 12:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual afternoonCA2814's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CA2813 from Tianjin, due 11:350
On time on the board so farShenzhen departures board−1
Leaves≈−1−5 to 2
weather at Shenzhenweather at Tianjindepartures at ShenzhenAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 11:35Shenzhen time
Last 90 days
72on time
5late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA2814 Shenzhen to Tianjin left within 15 minutes of schedule on 72 of its last 80 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.