Will CA821 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Phuket · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:20≈11:37
As of 21:19, CA821 should push back about 11:37 (scheduled 11:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningCA821's typical departure, last 90 days17
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈1510 to 26
weather at Beijingweather at Phuketdepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 08:20Beijing time
Last 90 days
18on time
45late
27very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA821 Beijing to Phuket left within 15 minutes of schedule on 18 of its last 90 flights, usually 28 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 72. It wasn't cancelled once.