Will CA8214 be delayed today?
Beijing → Wuhan Tianhe · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:55≈20:03
As of 16:39, CA8214 should push back about 20:03 (scheduled 19:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual eveningCA8214's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−2
Beijing is backing up45% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈82 to 15
weather at WuhanAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 179Check again 16:55Beijing time
Last 90 days
54on time
23late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA8214 Beijing to Wuhan left within 15 minutes of schedule on 54 of its last 88 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 34. It wasn't cancelled once.