Will CA933 be delayed today?
Beijing → Paris Charles de Gaulle · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Very likely, by about 40 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:25≈14:03
Lands17:10≈17:25
As of 05:49, CA933 should push back about 14:03 (scheduled 13:25) and land about 17:25 (scheduled 17:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈40 min
A usual afternoonCA933's typical departure, last 90 days27
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as CA934 from Paris, which left 42 min late+13
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Leaves≈4022 to 61
Made up in the air−23
Lands≈15
weather at Parisdepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 123
Check again 10:25Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
7on time
54late
29very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA933 Beijing to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 7 of its last 90 flights, usually 31 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 83. It wasn't cancelled once.