Will HD71 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kushiro · Sun 1 Nov · Air Do
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 07:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:40≈07:47
Lands09:20≈09:25
As of 07:59, HD71 should push back about 07:47 (scheduled 07:40) and land about 09:25 (scheduled 09:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual morningHD71's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 5 min lateTokyo departures board+3
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈72 to 7
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈5
weather at KushiroAir Do todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
85on time
5late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
HD71 Tokyo to Kushiro left within 15 minutes of schedule on 85 of its last 90 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.