Will AF1581 be delayed today?
London → Paris Charles de Gaulle · Sun 1 Nov · Air France
updated London time
Maybe, by about 6 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:30≈11:36
Lands13:50≈13:51
As of 01:19, AF1581 should push back about 11:36 (scheduled 11:30) and land about 13:51 (scheduled 13:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual morningAF1581's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AF1580 from Paris, due 10:300
Leaves≈61 to 34
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈1
weather at Londonweather at Parisdepartures at LondonAir France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 75
usually 1 in 52Check again 10:30London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
56on time
20late
12very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AF1581 London to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 56 of its last 89 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 32. It was cancelled once.