Will AF281 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Paris Charles de Gaulle · Sun 1 Nov · Air France
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:50≈08:53
Lands15:30≈15:18
As of 07:19, AF281 should push back about 08:53 (scheduled 08:50) and land about 15:18 (scheduled 15:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningTypical for this time of day at Tokyo; AF281 is new to us7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−2
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈30 to 13
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈−12
weather at ParisAir France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 192
usually 1 in 58Check again 08:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
2on time
2late
0very late
0cancelled
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T
W
T
F
S
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