Will NZ2843 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Monterey · Sat 31 Oct · Air New Zealand · operated by United as UA5627
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:20≈16:18
As of 09:19, NZ2843 should push back about 16:18 (scheduled 16:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonUA5627's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
United is running well today10% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 9 min early−2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−2−6 to 1
weather at Montereystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:20San Francisco time
Last 90 days
58on time
8late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NZ2843 San Francisco to Monterey left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 77 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It wasn't cancelled once.