Will NZ9618 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Santa Barbara · Sat 31 Oct · Air New Zealand · operated by United as UA1578
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:50≈10:48
As of 08:39, NZ9618 should push back about 10:48 (scheduled 10:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual morningUA1578's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−1
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−2−5 to 4
weather at Santa BarbaraUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:05San Francisco time
Last 90 days
73on time
7late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NZ9618 San Francisco to Santa Barbara left within 15 minutes of schedule on 73 of its last 84 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It wasn't cancelled once.