Will 4Z555 be delayed today?
Johannesburg → Durban King Shaka · Sun 1 Nov · Airlink · as SA563
same answer since Johannesburg time
Maybe 15+ minutes late.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:20≈16:31
Lands17:30≈17:39
As of 19:19, 4Z555 should push back about 16:31 (scheduled 16:20) and land about 17:39 (scheduled 17:30).
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoon4Z555's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farJohannesburg departures board−1
A rougher day than usual at JohannesburgFrom our forecast: worse than usual for Johannesburg today+4
Johannesburg is backing up72% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
AIRLINK is running late today76% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+3
Leaves≈10−2 to 23
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈9
weather at Durbanstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
43on time
10late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
4Z555 Johannesburg to Durban left within 15 minutes of schedule on 43 of its last 54 flights, usually 6 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It wasn't cancelled once.