Will AS2189 be delayed today?
San Diego → Everett Seattle Paine Field · Sat 31 Oct · Alaska Airlines
updated San Diego time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:50≈17:57
As of 18:49, AS2189 should push back about 17:57 (scheduled 17:50).
Why ≈7 min
A usual eveningAS2189's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 11 min lateSan Diego departures board+10
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at San Diego today+1
San Diego is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈73 to 13
weather at EverettAlaska todayFAA plan for todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 60
usually 1 in 122Last 90 days
19on time
2late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AS2189 San Diego to Everett left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 22 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 3. It wasn't cancelled once.