Will AS2408 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Spokane · Sat 31 Oct · Alaska Airlines · as AA7632, QF3747
updated San Francisco time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:15≈13:33
Lands15:33≈15:50
As of 10:19, AS2408 should push back about 13:33 (scheduled 13:15) and land about 15:50 (scheduled 15:33).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonAS2408's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as AS2167 from Palm Springs, 16 min behind, due 12:48+3
The board already shows 13 min lateSan Francisco departures board+11
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈2018 to 30
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈15
weather at SpokaneAlaska todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 12:48San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
20on time
5late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AS2408 San Francisco to Spokane left within 15 minutes of schedule on 20 of its last 28 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.