Will AS2498 be delayed today?
San Diego → San Jose · Thu 29 Oct · Alaska Airlines
updated San Diego time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:51.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:51≈09:46
Lands11:20≈11:17
As of 10:29, AS2498 should push back about 09:46 (scheduled 09:51) and land about 11:17 (scheduled 11:20).
Why ≈5 min early
A usual morningAS2498's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AS2472 from Reno, 7 min behind, due 09:17−1
The board already shows 6 min lateSan Diego departures board+6
Calmer than usual at San DiegoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Diego is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−2
Alaska is running well today9% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 19 min early; yesterday this flight left 18 min early−6
FAA ground delay program at San DiegoGround delay program at San Diego, about 28 min; FAA delays at San Diego, about 30 min−1
Leaves≈−5−8 to 3
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈−3
weather at San Josestorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 189Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
15on time
7late
3very late
0cancelled
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T
F
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