Will AS415 be delayed today?
Seattle → Ted Stevens Anchorage · Sun 1 Nov · Alaska Airlines
updated Seattle time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:44.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:44≈11:46
Lands14:30≈14:28
As of 01:19, AS415 should push back about 11:46 (scheduled 11:44) and land about 14:28 (scheduled 14:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningAS415's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your planeNot assigned yet0
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Seattle2
Leaves≈2−2 to 20
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈−2
weather at Seattleweather at Anchoragedepartures at SeattleAlaska todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 08:44Seattle time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
21on time
5late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AS415 Seattle to Anchorage left within 15 minutes of schedule on 21 of its last 28 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.