Will AS546 be delayed today?
San Diego → San José del Cabo Los Cabos · Sat 31 Oct · Alaska Airlines
updated San Diego time
Maybe, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:16≈14:35
As of 15:19, AS546 should push back about 14:35 (scheduled 14:16).
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonAS546's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 16 min lateSan Diego departures board+18
San Diego is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈2012 to 25
weather at San Diegoweather at San José del CaboAlaska todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 143
usually 1 in 200Last 90 days
28on time
1late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AS546 San Diego to San José del Cabo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 28 of its last 30 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.