Will AS611 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Seattle–Tacoma · Sun 1 Nov · Alaska Airlines
same answer since Phoenix time
Maybe 15+ minutes late.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:44≈13:55Phoenix time
Lands15:56≈16:01Seattle time
As of 02:49, AS611 should push back about 13:55 (scheduled 13:44) and land about 16:01 (scheduled 15:56).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonAS611's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder 46% likely, gusts to about 30 kt at Phoenix today+1
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Phoenix+6
Leaves≈101 to 56
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈5
weather at Seattledepartures at PhoenixAlaska todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 58
Check again 10:44Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
68on time
11late
8very late
0cancelled
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AS611 Phoenix to Seattle left within 15 minutes of schedule on 68 of its last 87 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It wasn't cancelled once.