Will AA1186 be delayed today?
New York → Miami · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated New York time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:59.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:59≈15:43
Lands19:15≈19:05
As of 03:49, AA1186 should push back about 15:43 (scheduled 15:59) and land about 19:05 (scheduled 19:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈16 min early
A usual afternoonAA1186's typical departure, last 90 days−11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at New YorkFrom our forecast: dry today−1
New York is running smoothly10% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
American Airlines is running well today46% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 21 min early; yesterday this flight left 20 min early−3
Leaves≈−16−17 to −1
Lost in the air+6
Lands≈−10
weather at MiamiFAA plan for todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 12:59New York time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
62on time
5late
9very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1186 New York to Miami left within 15 minutes of schedule on 62 of its last 77 flights, usually 26 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It was cancelled once.