Will AA1404 be delayed today?
Denver → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Denver time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 05:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves05:30≈05:19
Lands07:29≈07:21
As of 01:19, AA1404 should push back about 05:19 (scheduled 05:30) and land about 07:21 (scheduled 07:29).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈11 min early
A usual morningAA1404's typical departure, last 90 days−10
Your plane is hereN117UW landed from Phoenix0
Thunderstorms possible at PhoenixFrom the TAF: thunder 46% likely, 97% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 25% 15+ min late+1
American Airlines is running well today30% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 18 min early; yesterday this flight left 20 min late−2
Leaves≈−11−15 to 5
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈−8
weather at Denverdepartures at Denverstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 02:30Denver time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
67on time
8late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA1404 Denver to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 67 of its last 81 flights, usually 19 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.