Will AA1527 be delayed today?
Miami → Providenciales · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Very likely, by about 70 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:23≈13:32
As of 11:39, AA1527 should push back about 13:32 (scheduled 12:23).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈70 min
A usual afternoonAA1527's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeN700UW starts its day here or has been at the gate a while0
The board already shows 68 min lateMiami departures board+65
Miami is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Your plane was swappedThe airline has changed the aircraft 3 times, last 60 min ago+1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈7063 to 95
weather at Miamiweather at ProvidencialesAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Last 90 days
52on time
15late
16very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1527 Miami to Providenciales left within 15 minutes of schedule on 52 of its last 83 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It wasn't cancelled once.