Will AA1528 be delayed today?
Philadelphia → San Francisco · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:56.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:56≈15:53
Lands19:11≈18:59
As of 10:19, AA1528 should push back about 15:53 (scheduled 15:56) and land about 18:59 (scheduled 19:11).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonAA1528's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your plane is on timeN454AL is coming from San Diego, due 14:40−1
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Philadelphia is running smoothly12% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at San Francisco+2
Leaves≈−3−9 to 3
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−12
weather at San FranciscoAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 14:40Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
30on time
22late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1528 Philadelphia to San Francisco left within 15 minutes of schedule on 30 of its last 57 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 27. It wasn't cancelled once.