Will AA1529 be delayed today?
Philadelphia → Las Vegas Harry Reid · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:05≈18:04
Lands20:47≈20:37
As of 09:19, AA1529 should push back about 18:04 (scheduled 18:05) and land about 20:37 (scheduled 20:47).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual eveningAA1529's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane is on timeN471AN is coming from Phoenix, due 16:25−1
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Philadelphia is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Las Vegas today−1
Leaves≈−1−8 to 4
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−10
weather at Las VegasAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:25Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
53on time
13late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1529 Philadelphia to Las Vegas left within 15 minutes of schedule on 53 of its last 75 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It wasn't cancelled once.