Will AA1531 be delayed today?
Chicago → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Chicago time
Maybe, by about 5 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:00≈17:05
Lands20:07≈20:06
As of 01:19, AA1531 should push back about 17:05 (scheduled 17:00) and land about 20:06 (scheduled 20:07).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Chicago; AA1531 is new to us4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possible at PhoenixFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 30 kt at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 25% 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈5−1 to 35
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈−1
weather at Chicagodepartures at ChicagoAmerican Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 25
usually 1 in 141Check again 14:00Chicago time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
30on time
2late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1531 Chicago to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 30 of its last 35 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.