Will AA1565 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Las Vegas Harry Reid · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:10≈17:18
Lands18:25≈18:29
As of 12:39, AA1565 should push back about 17:18 (scheduled 17:10) and land about 18:29 (scheduled 18:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual eveningAA1565's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
More rain than usual at Las VegasFrom the TAF: 81% chance of rain at Las Vegas today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late+1
Phoenix is backing up24% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈8−1 to 26
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈4
American todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 123
usually 1 in 34Check again 14:10Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
10on time
1late
2very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1565 Phoenix to Las Vegas left within 15 minutes of schedule on 10 of its last 14 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 3. It was cancelled once.