Will AA1586 be delayed today?
Miami → New York JFK · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves≈18:25
Lands21:30≈21:17
As of 10:19, AA1586 should push back about 18:25 (scheduled 18:25) and land about 21:17 (scheduled 21:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈0 min
A usual eveningAA1586's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your plane is on timeN932AM is coming from Dallas-Fort Worth, due 16:27−1
Miami is running smoothly14% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at New York today−2
Leaves≈0−6 to 9
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−13
weather at Miamiweather at New YorkAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 147Check again 16:27Miami time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
16on time
6late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1586 Miami to New York left within 15 minutes of schedule on 16 of its last 26 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.