Will AA1844 be delayed today?
Philadelphia → San Diego · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:00≈15:56
Lands18:57≈18:46
As of 15:59, AA1844 should push back about 15:56 (scheduled 16:00) and land about 18:46 (scheduled 18:57).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual afternoonAA1844's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane is hereN402AN landed from San Francisco−3
On time on the board so farPhiladelphia departures board−3
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Philadelphia is running smoothly15% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
American is running well today22% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 7 min early−2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−4−7 to 2
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−11
weather at San Diegostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
16on time
4late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1844 Philadelphia to San Diego left within 15 minutes of schedule on 16 of its last 26 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.